The Internet and Political Protest in Autocracies
The Internet and Political Protest in Autocracies
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互联网与独裁国家的政治抗议
DOI：
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发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
E. Rød
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Nils B. Weidmann;E. Rød
在最近的独裁政权民众起义之后，许多观察家认为，信息和通信技术，特别是互联网，在动员政治抗议方面发挥了关键作用。这本书揭示了互联网技术何时以及在何种情况下可以造福于旨在动员抗议活动的反对派活动人士，以及互联网技术何时落入独裁政府手中。由于专制政府对互联网技术的引入和扩展以及数字通信OWS享有高度控制，该书认为，从长远来看，这应该有助于他们保持较低的抗议水平。然而，一旦抗议活动开始，政府的短期干预就变得更加困难，这就是为什么互联网技术可以催化持续的动乱事件。这本书对互联网技术的使用和独裁国家的抗议之间的关系进行了详细的实证分析。通过利用关于政治抗议和互联网普及率的新的国家以下数据，这些分析覆盖了60多个城市层面的独裁国家。结果表明，城市互联网普及率越高，独裁政权中抗议活动的总体发生率就越低，但一旦抗议活动开始，互联网就会促进同一城市抗议活动的持续，并将抗议活动扩散到其他地方。通过研究政府使用互联网与其他专制镇压手段的关系，这本书还展示了专制政治的技术现代化，通过互联网进行的数字镇压部分取代了传统的政治控制形式。
In the aftermath of recent popular uprisings in dictatorships, many observers argued that information and communication technologies, notably the Internet, played a key role in the mobilization of political protest. This book unpacks when and under which circumstances Internet technology can benefit opposition activists aiming to mobilize protests, and when the technology plays into the hands of autocratic governments. Since autocratic governments enjoy a high degree of control over the introduction and expansion of Internet technology and over digital communication ows, the book argues that it should help them keep levels of protest low in the long-term. However, once protest has started, short-term government intervention becomes more difficult, which is why Internet technology can catalyze ongoing episodes of unrest. The book presents detailed empirical analyses of the relationship between the use of Internet technology and protest in autocracies. By leveraging new sub-national data on political protest and Internet penetration, these analysis cover more than sixty autocratic countries at the level of cities. The results show that higher levels of Internet penetration in cities reduce the overall occurrence of protest in dictatorships, but once protest has started, the Internet contributes to the continuation of protest in the same city as well as its diffusion to other locations. By examining the use of the Internet by governments in relation to other means of autocratic repression, the book also demonstrates the technological modernization of autocratic politics, where digital repression via the Internet partly substitutes traditional forms of political control.