Consequences of population change for retail/wholesale sector employment in the nonmetropolitan great plains: 1950-1996
Consequences of population change for retail/wholesale sector employment in the nonmetropolitan great plains: 1950-1996
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DOI：
10.1111/j.1549-0831.1999.tb00006.x
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发表时间：
1999-03-01
期刊：
影响因子：
2.3
通讯作者：
Qureshi, R
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Adamchak, DJ;Bloomquist, LE;Qureshi, R
农村经济结构调整的角度和中心地理论被用来评估1950年至1990年的大平原地区的438个非大都市县的人口变化对零售/批发部门就业的影响。研究结果表明，县级人口下降的每十年，除了1970年周转十年，和最大的损失是在完全农村不相邻的县。除了1970年，平民劳动力一直在下降，当时由于非都市制造业的增加和婴儿潮人群达到劳动力年龄而大幅增加。除了20世纪80年代，零售/批发劳动力每十年都在增加。然而，回归分析发现，人口变化与零售/批发就业变化之间存在高度显著的正相关关系。对该区域而言，人口减少是造成县一级零售/批发就业部门减少的主要原因。1990-1996年期间的初步数据表明，人口和劳动力从1980年代开始反弹。然而，与1980年代一样，增长很可能集中在少数主要是城市的非相邻县。
A rural economic restructuring perspective and central place theory are used to assess the impact of population change on retail/ wholesale sector employment for the 438 nonmetropolitan counties of the Great Plains region from 1950 to 1990. Findings indicate that county level population declined for every decade except the 1970 turnaround decade, and the greatest losses were in completely rural nonadjacent counties. The civilian labor force declined for all but the 1970 decade, when there was a substantial increase due to increased nonmetro manufacturing and the baby boom cohorts reaching labor force age. Retail/wholesale labor force increased in every decade except the 1980s. However, regression analysis found a positive and highly significant relationship between population change and retail/wholesale employment change. For this region, population decline is a major contributor to decline in the retail/wholesale employment sector at the county level. Preliminary data from the 1990-1996 period indicate a population and labor force rebound from the 1980s. However, as in the 1980s, gains are most likely concentrated in a small number of mainly urban nonadjacent counties.