Application of Land Use Change and Prediction in Urban Planning Evaluation and Formulation
Application of Land Use Change and Prediction in Urban Planning Evaluation and Formulation
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土地利用变化与预测在城市规划评价与制定中的应用
DOI：
10.4236/jcc.2021.96015
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发表时间：
2021
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Zhaoxia Chen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Huipeng Liao;M. Liu;Huagui He;Weijun Yang;Liang Guo;Liu Yang;Keyun Chen;Zhaoxia Chen
本研究对2000-2018年南沙地区土地利用变化进行了监测，通过土地利用总体规划、土地利用分布和经济数据的叠加分析，对南沙地区的城市规划进行了评价，并对2025年和2035年的城市扩张进行了预测，为未来的城市规划提供科学依据。结果表明：建成区面积迅速扩大（2000-2018年从78.32 km2增加到153.75 km2）， GDP和新增企业显著增加；大部分建成区与土地利用规划相匹配。2025年和2035年的城市扩张分别模拟为168.27 km2和207.04 km2，为未来的土地利用规划提供参考。
The study monitored land use change in Nansha during 2000-2018, evaluate Nansha’s urban planning by the overlay analysis of land use general planning, land use distribution, and economic data, and predicted the urban expansion in 2025 and 2035 to provide scientific information for urban planning in the future. The results showed that the built-up area rapidly expanded (78.32 km2 to 153.75 km2 in 2000-2018), and the GDP and the newly-added enterprises remarkably increased as well. Most of built-up area matched the land use planning. The urban expansion was simulated to 168.27 km2 in 2025 and to 207.04 km2 in 2035 for future land use planning.