Predicting cirrhosis risk based on the level of circulating hepatitis B viral load
Predicting cirrhosis risk based on the level of circulating hepatitis B viral load
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DOI:
10.1053/j.gastro.2005.11.016
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发表时间:
2006-03-01
期刊:
影响因子:
29.4
通讯作者:
Chen, CJ
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Iloeje, UH;Yang, HI;Chen, CJ
Background & Aims: Cirrhosis develops as a result of hepatic inflammation and subsequent fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B infection. We report on the relationship between hepatitis B viremia and progression to cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B infection. Methods: This was a population-based prospective cohort study of 3582 untreated hepatitis B-infected patients established in Taiwan from 1991 to 1992. Serum samples were tested for HBV DNA on cohort entry serum samples and the diagnosis of cirrhosis was by ultrasound. Results: During a mean follow-up time of 1:1 years, the 3582 patients contributed 40,038 person-years of follow-up evaluation and 365 patients were newly diagnosed with cirrhosis. The cumulative incidence of cirrhosis increased with the HBV-DNA level and ranged from 4.5% to 36.2% for patients with a hepatitis B viral load of less than 300 copies/mL and 106 copies/mL or more, respectively (P = 10(4) - = 10(5) - = 10(6) copies/mL, respectively. Conclusions: These data show that progression to cirrhosis in hepatitis B-infected persons is correlated strongly with the level of circulating virus. The risk for cirrhosis increases significantly with increasing HBV-DNA levels and is independent of hepatitis B e-antigen status and serum alanine transaminase level.