Cardiovascular and metabolic predictors of progression of prehypertension into hypertension: the Strong Heart Study.
Cardiovascular and metabolic predictors of progression of prehypertension into hypertension: the Strong Heart Study.
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DOI:
10.1161/hypertensionaha.109.129031
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发表时间:
2009-11
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Devereux RB
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文献类型:
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作者:
De Marco M;de Simone G;Roman MJ;Chinali M;Lee ET;Russell M;Howard BV;Devereux RB
Prehypertension (defined by JNC-7) frequently evolves to hypertension (HTN) and increases cardiovascular risk. It is unclear whether metabolic and/or cardiac characteristics favor development of HTN in prehypertensive subjects. We evaluated baseline anthropometric, laboratory and echocardiographic characteristics of 625 untreated prehypertensive participants in the Strong Heart Study (SHS), without prevalent cardiovascular disease (63% women; 22% diabetes; mean age 59±7 years) to identify predictors of 4-year incidence of hypertension. Diabetes was assessed by ADA criteria and diabetes-specific definition of hypertension was used. Four-year incidence of HTN was 38%. Incident HTN was independently predicted by baseline systolic blood pressure (OR= 1.60 per 10 mmHg, 95% CI=1.30-2.00; p<0.0001), waist circumference (OR=1.10 per 10 cm, 95% CI=1.01-1.30; p=0.04) and diabetes (OR= 2.73, 95% CI=1.77-4.21; p<0.0001), with no significant effect for age, gender, HbA1c, HOMA index, CRP, fibrinogen, LDL-HDL cholesterol, tryglicerides, plasma creatinine or urine albumin/creatinine. Higher left ventricular mass index (OR=1.15 per 5 g/m2.7, 95% CI=1.01-1.25; p= 0.03) or stroke volume index (OR=1.25 per 5 ml/m2.04, 95% CI=1.10-1.50; p= 0.03) were also identified, together with baseline systolic blood pressure and presence of diabetes, as independent predictors of incident HTN, without additional predictive contribution from other anthropometric, metabolic or echocardiographic parameters (all p>0.10). Thus, progression to HTN in 38% of SHS pre-hypertensive participants could be predicted by higher left ventricular mass and stroke volume in addition to baseline systolic blood pressure and prevalent diabetes.