Electricity consumption and human development level: A comparative analysis based on panel data for 50 countries
Electricity consumption and human development level: A comparative analysis based on panel data for 50 countries
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电力消费与人类发展水平：基于50个国家面板数据的比较分析
DOI：
10.1016/j.ijepes.2013.05.024
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发表时间：
2013-12-01
影响因子：
5.2
通讯作者：
Liu, Yan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Niu, Shuwen;Jia, Yanqin;Liu, Yan
作为现代能源的代表，电力消费水平可以作为一个国家发展水平的评价标准。本研究分析了电力消费与人类发展之间的因果关系，并对电力消费的变化趋势进行了评估。本研究中的模型是利用1990-2009年间50个国家的面板数据建立的，按收入分为四组。在人类发展指标方面，选择了人均国内生产总值、消费支出、城镇化率、出生时预期寿命和成人识字率。结果表明，用电量与五个指标之间存在长期双向因果关系。此外，一个国家的收入越高，其用电量就越大，人类发展水平就越高。此外，四个收入分组的变量差异很大。具体地说，随着收入的增加，电力消费对国内生产总值和消费支出的贡献增加，但城镇化率、出生时预期寿命和成人识字率呈减弱趋势。这主要是因为高收入国家的后一项指标正在日益趋同。为促进人的发展，应将电力纳入基本公共服务建设，提高低收入居民用电可获得性。(C)爱思唯尔有限公司出版的2013年。
As a representative of modern energy, the level of electricity consumption can be regarded as an appraisal criterion of a country's development level. This study analyses the causality between electricity consumption and human development and assesses the changing trend of electricity consumption. The models in this study are established using panel data from 1990-2009 for 50 countries divided into four groups according to income. For human development indicators, per-capita GDP, consumption expenditure, urbanisation rate, life expectancy at birth and the adult literacy rate were selected. The results show that long-run bidirectional causality exists between electricity consumption and five indicators. Additionally, the higher the income of a country, the greater is its electricity consumption and the higher is its level of human development. Further, the variables of four income-groupings vary considerably. Specifically, as income increases, the contribution of electricity consumption to GDP and consumption expenditure increases, but the urbanisation rate, life expectancy at birth and adult literacy rate present a weakening trend. This mainly because that the latter indicators in high-income countries are increasing to converge. To improve human development, electricity should be incorporated into the basic public services construction to enhance the availability of electricity for low-income residents. (C) 2013 Published by Elsevier Ltd.