Public perceptions of local flood risk and the role of climate change
Public perceptions of local flood risk and the role of climate change
复制标题
公众对当地洪水风险和气候变化作用的看法
DOI：
10.1007/s10669-014-9513-6
复制
发表时间：
2014
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
M. Morgan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
W. Bruin;W. Bruin;G. Wong‐Parodi;M. Morgan
IPCC报告说，气候变化将增加热浪和洪水的风险。虽然基于调查的研究已经研究了公众对炎热天气的看法和气候变化信念之间的联系，但人们对洪水风险变化的看法，气候变化在多大程度上被认为有助于洪水风险的变化，或者这种看法如何因政治派别而异，相对知之甚少。我们讨论了来自美国宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡长期居民的调查结果，该地区经常发生洪水。我们的参与者认为当地的洪水风险已经增加，并预计未来会进一步增加;如果他们更多地相信气候变化的贡献，预计未来的洪水风险会更高;将未来洪水增加的预测解释为气候变化的证据;尽管对气候变化持不同意见，但他们认为洪水风险的增加与政治派别无关。总的来说，这些研究结果表明，关于气候变化适应的宣传如果更多地侧重于防范当地洪水风险，特别是针对潜在气候怀疑论者的受众，将更加有效。
The IPCC reports that climate change will pose increased risks of heatwaves and flooding. Although survey-based studies have examined links between public perceptions of hot weather and climate change beliefs, relatively little is known about people’s perceptions of changes in flood risks, the extent to which climate change is perceived to contribute to changes in flood risks, or how such perceptions vary by political affiliation. We discuss findings from a survey of long-time residents of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, a region that has experienced regular flooding. Our participants perceived local flood risks as having increased and expected further increase in the future; expected higher future flood risks if they believed more in the contribution of climate change; interpreted projections of future increases in flooding as evidence for climate change; and perceived similar increases in flood risks independent of their political affiliation despite disagreeing about climate change. Overall, these findings suggest that communications about climate change adaptation will be more effective if they focus more on protection against local flood risks, especially when targeting audiences of potential climate sceptics.
影响因子：
30.7
作者：
Spence, A.;Poortinga, W.;Pidgeon, N. F.
通讯作者：
Pidgeon, N. F.