Research Note: Libertarian-Authoritarian Value Change in Britain, 1974–2001

Research Note: Libertarian-Authoritarian Value Change in Britain, 1974–2001
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研究报告:英国自由主义与威权主义价值观的变化,1974-2001

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发表时间:
2005
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通讯作者:
James Tilley
James Tilley
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作者:
James Tilley

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这份研究报告探讨了英国政治中两个主要价值观之一--自由主义-威权主义--的年龄差异和随时间变化背后的机制。我表明,英国选民在过去的30年里已经变得更加自由主义,但老年人在此期间仍然比年轻人更专制。传统上,由于包含年龄、时期和群组变量的模型识别不足的问题,很难评估这是否表明代间差异和代间变化。然而,本文克服了其中的一些问题,通过测量社会老龄化因素,如婚姻,并使用面板数据来严格评估个人如何改变,由于这些社会老龄化因素。我发现几乎没有证据表明心理学家声称社会老龄化导致威权主义的增加,并得出结论,年龄差异和随时间的变化本质上是代际的。
This research note explores the mechanisms behind age differences and changes over time in one of the two major value dimensions in British politics, libertarian-authoritarianism. I show that the British electorate has become substantially more libertarian over the last 30 years, but that older people have remained more authoritarian than younger people over this period. Conventionally, due to the problem of the under-identification of models containing age, period and cohort variables, it is difficult to assess whether this indicates generational differences, and generational change, or not. This paper overcomes some of these problems however, by measuring social ageing factors, such as marriage, and using panel data to rigorously assess how individuals change due to these social ageing factors. I find little evidence of psychologists' claims that social ageing leads to increases in authoritarianism, and conclude that both age differences and changes over time are generational in nature.