Further comments on the path to drawing reasonable conclusions about prevention.
Further comments on the path to drawing reasonable conclusions about prevention.
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关于得出合理预防结论的途径的进一步评论。
DOI：
10.1111/j.1360-0443.2008.02383.x
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发表时间：
2009
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Conde,Eugenia
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Gorman,DennisM;Conde,Eugenia
我们很有兴趣看到关于预防科学研究所伙伴关系评估的一些药物预防计划的有效性的交流[1，2]，特别是其中一位作者引用了我们最近对其中一个计划发表的评估的评论[3]。我们的批评背后更广泛的关注是，在美国被称为“预防科学”的东西并没有被作为科学标志的批判性和怀疑性的假设检验方法所告知[4，5]。相反，所进行的大部分评价研究的目标是验证而不是伪造所研究的干预措施是有效的这一假设。毫不奇怪，在寻求核实时，这些评价往往采用有问题的数据分析和列报做法，从而增加产生支持性结果的可能性。我们在斯波思及其同事对题为"为父母和10-14岁以上青少年加强家庭计划“的综合干预效果的评估中发现了一些这样的做法
We were interested to see the exchange in Addiction concerning the efficacy of a number of drug prevention programs that have been evaluated by the Partnerships in Prevention Science Institute [1, 2], especially as one of the authors drew upon a recent critique that we wrote of the published evaluations of one of these programs [3]. The broader concern underlying our critique was that what has come to be termed ‘prevention science’in the United States is not informed by the critical and skeptical approach to hypothesis testing that is the hallmark of science [4, 5]. Rather, the goal of much of the evaluation research that is conducted is to verify, rather than falsify, the hypothesis that the intervention under study is effective. Not surprisingly, in their search for verifications such evaluations often employ questionable data analysis and presentation practices that increase the probability of producing supportive results. We identified a number of such practices in Spoth and colleagues’ evaluations of the effects of the combined intervention entitled Strengthening Families Program for Parents and Youth 10–14 Plus Life