The gains from economic integration*
The gains from economic integration*
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经济一体化的收益*
DOI：
10.1093/epolic/eiz004
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发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
2.5
通讯作者：
José Vincente Rodríguez Mora
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
David A. Comerford;José Vincente Rodríguez Mora
本文衡量政治一体化（例如共享民族国家或经济联盟）对贸易一体化程度的影响。与之前的工作一致，我们发现了很大的边界效应。然而，由于内生性，这种估计可能存在偏差，并且高估了边界的影响：选择共享政治空间与贸易亲和力相关。我们提出了一种方法来解决这个问题，并产生更接近因果效应的估计。然后，我们进行推测性练习，显示与以下方面相关的不断变化的一体化程度的成本和收益： 苏格兰、加泰罗尼亚和巴斯克地区从英国和西班牙独立 [但仍留在欧盟 (EU) 内]；英国退出欧盟；欧盟本身的解体和欧盟内部更紧密的一体化，使其内部边界看起来与各个国家的内部边界相似（而不是目前的状态，即仅仅是一个紧密一体化的国家集团）。我们发现国家之间的边界效应比欧盟相关的边界效应大一个数量级。
This paper measures the effect of political integration, such as sharing a national state or economic union, on the degree of trade integration. Consistently with previous work, we find large border effects. However, such estimates may be biased and overestimate the effects of borders because of endogeneity: selection into sharing a political space is correlated with affinities for trade. We propose a method to address this and we produce estimates which are closer to the causal effect. We then conduct speculative exercises showing the costs and benefits of the changing levels of integration associated with: the independence of Scotland, Catalonia and the Basque Country from the United Kingdom and Spain [but remaining within the European Union (EU)]; the United Kingdom’s exit from the EU; the break-up of the EU itself and closer integration within the EU so that its internal borders appear similar to the internal borders of individual countries (as opposed to its current state of being simply a closely integrated group of countries). We find that the border effect between countries is an order of magnitude larger than the border effect associated with the EU.
影响因子：
3.3
作者：
Natalie Chen;D. Novy
通讯作者：
Natalie Chen;D. Novy
离开欧盟的长期经济影响
影响因子：
2.1
作者：
Ebell M
通讯作者：
Ebell M
影响因子：
8.2
作者：
Allen, Treb;Arkolakis, Costas;Takahashi, Yuta
通讯作者：
Takahashi, Yuta