A Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific (FTAAP): Is It Desirable?

A Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific (FTAAP): Is It Desirable?
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亚太自由贸易区(FTAAP):可取吗?

DOI:
10.2139/ssrn.2317160
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发表时间:
2013
期刊:
Econometric Modeling: International Economics eJournal
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Soonchan Park
Soonchan Park
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Sangkyom Kim;Innwon Park;Soonchan Park

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本文评估了拟议中的自贸区对于亚太经合组织成员经济体和世界经济是否是一个可取的政策选择。更具体地说,本文定性地考察了自贸区是否满足贸易集团产生正的、充分的净贸易创造效应的条件。此外,本文还利用CGE模型对自贸区可能产生的影响进行了估计。通过基于统计数据的定性分析,本文认为,自贸区可以成为一个理想的区域贸易集团,能够从更自由的贸易中产生积极的利益。通过运用静态CGE模型和资本积累CGE模型进行事前情景分析,本文得出结论:FTAAP在改善参与APEC经济体福利方面具有巨大潜力,并将促进该地区的经济增长。特别是,如果自贸区能够与服务贸易自由化和加强贸易便利化联系起来,那就更好了。
This paper evaluates whether the proposed FTAAP is a desirable policy option for APEC member economies and the world economy. More specifically, this paper qualitatively investigates whether the FTAAP satisfies conditions for a trade bloc to generate positive and sufficient net trade creation effect. In addition, this paper estimates the likely impact of the FTAAP by using a CGE model analysis. From the qualitative analysis based on statistical data, this paper strongly argues that the FTAAP can be a desirable regional trade bloc able to generate positive gains from freer trade. From the ex-ante scenario analysis using both static and capital accumulation CGE Models, this paper concludes that the FTAAP has great potential for improving welfare of participating APEC economies and will boost economic growth in the region. In particular, the FTAAP would be even better if it can be linked with liberalization of trade in services and enhanced trade facilitation.
跨太平洋伙伴关系协定:前景与影响
DOI: --
发表时间: 2012
期刊:
影响因子: --
作者:
Foreign Trade University (ed.); P. Riethmuller;Hitoshi Hirakawa;Le dang Doanh et al.
通讯作者: Le dang Doanh et al.