Utility Perception in System Dynamics Models
Utility Perception in System Dynamics Models
复制标题
系统动力学模型中的效用感知
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
I. Bar
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Saeed P. Langarudi;I. Bar
人们认为，个人感知到的效用不同于个人体验到的效用。系统动力学隐含地将这种现象归类为有限理性的一种形式，传统上采用指数平滑函数来捕捉它。我们通过测试它与现代行为科学理论提出的效用感知的替代公式来挑战这种概括。特别是，传统的平滑配方相比，在一个简单的理论模型，以及在一个中等规模的电子健康记录的实施模式的峰终规则。与模型的实验表明，效用感知的方式制定是很重要的，很可能会影响行为和政策的影响系统动力学模型。
The utility perceived by individuals is believed to be different from the utility experienced by that individual. System dynamicists implicitly categorize this phenomenon as a form of bounded rationality, and traditionally employ an exponential smoothing function to capture it. We challenge this generalization by testing it against an alternative formulation of utility perception that is suggested by modern theories of behavioral sciences. In particular, the traditional smoothing formulation is compared with the peak–end rule in a simple theoretical model as well as in a medium-size model of electronic health records implementation. Experimentation with the models reveals that the way in which utility perception is formulated is important, and is likely to affect behavior and policy implications of system dynamics models.