Modeling economic performance of interprovincial CO2 emission reduction quota trading in China
Modeling economic performance of interprovincial CO2 emission reduction quota trading in China
复制标题
中国省际二氧化碳减排配额交易的经济绩效建模
DOI：
10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.04.013
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发表时间：
2013-12
期刊：
影响因子：
11.2
通讯作者：
W.J. Xia
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
P. Zhou;L. Zhang;D.Q. Zhou;W.J. Xia
碳减排是中国促进经济社会发展的一项长期战略。然而，减排往往涉及大量的技术投资，由于各省经济和技术发展水平的差异，这些投资可能会有很大差异。排放权交易作为一种有效的政策工具，可以帮助各省经济有效地实现减排目标。本文对中国省际碳排放配额交易机制的经济绩效进行了模型分析。首先估算了中国各省的边际减排成本曲线。在此基础上，建立了一个非线性规划模型来评价省际减排配额交易的经济效益。采用5个公平标准对各省间的减排目标进行初始分配。我们的模型结果表明，通过实施省际减排配额交易机制，中国的总减排成本可以降低40%以上。在五个可供选择的标准中，二氧化碳排放和人口标准看起来更公平，建议在最初分配二氧化碳减排目标时使用。
Carbon emission reduction is a long-term strategy for China to promote its economic and social development. However, emission reduction often involves a huge amount of technological investment, which could vary substantially across different provinces due to their discrepancy in economic and technological development levels. Emission trading as a useful policy instrument may help different provinces achieve their emission reduction targets cost-effectively. This paper models the economic performance of an interprovincial emission reduction quota trading scheme in China. The marginal abatement cost curve of each province in China is first estimated. A nonlinear programming model is further developed to evaluate the economic performance of interprovincial emission reduction quota trading. Five equity criteria are used to conduct the initial allocation of emission reduction targets between different provinces. Our modeling results show that China’s total emission abatement cost could decrease by over 40% through implementing such an interprovincial emission reduction quota trading scheme. Of the five alternative criteria, the CO2emissions and population criteria look fairer and are recommended for use in the initial allocation of CO2emission reduction targets.
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