An Essential Analysis and Review on Land Use/Cover Change Research
An Essential Analysis and Review on Land Use/Cover Change Research
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发表时间：
2004
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通讯作者：
Cai Yun-long
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作者：
Cai Yun-long
土地利用/覆被变化（LUCC）研究涉及的科学问题很多，但也存在着一些内在的联系。通过对土地利用/覆被变化规划基本目标的分析，指出土地利用/覆被变化规划与土地利用/覆被变化规划之间的本质关系是因果关系。根据这一关系，LUCC研究可以简单地分为LUCC成因、LUCC状态和LUCC结果3个组成部分，以及LUCC驱动力与机制、LUCC状态、LUCC效应与过程、LUCC模型与模拟4个研究方面。在回顾了LUCC研究现状的基础上，对未来的发展提出了几点展望：LUCC研究的总体趋势将是综合化，LUCC的环境效应和微观机制仍是研究热点，尺度的综合和模型的建立将是研究难点。
Although the research of Land Use/Cover Change (LUCC) involves many scientific issues, there exist some inherent relations. Based on the analysis to the fundamental goal of the LUCC Plan, the author points out that the essential relationship among those issues is causality. According to this relation, the research on LUCC can be simply divided into three components: reasons of LUCC, states of LUCC and results of LUCC, and four research aspects: drivers and mechanisms of LUCC, states of LUCC, effects and processes of LUCC and models and simulations of LUCC. After reviewing the current research situation of LUCC, this paper also puts forth several prospects on its future development: the whole trend will be synthesis, the environmental effect and the micro mechanism of LUCC are still the research hotspots, and the synthesis of scales and the establish of models will be the research difficulties.