Institutional foundations of adaptive planning: exploration of flood planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley, Texas, USA

Institutional foundations of adaptive planning: exploration of flood planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley, Texas, USA
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DOI:
10.1080/23789689.2023.2180249
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发表时间:
2023-03-03
影响因子:
5.9
通讯作者:
Greb,Virgie
Greb,Virgie
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Ross,Ashley D.;Nejat,Ali;Greb,Virgie

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鉴于气候条件不断升级带来的风险,有必要评估地方如何将适应性规划纳入减灾工作,以及现有规划机构如何促成或限制这一工作。我们探讨这一洪水规划在下格兰德河流域的得克萨斯州,美国-一个很大程度上资源不足,高度社会经济脆弱的地区。使用自然语言处理分析县和区域灾害计划以及区域洪水规划会议的成绩单,我们发现,适应性规划在很大程度上是缺席的研究领域。像美国的许多地方一样,研究地区的社区在静态条件下进行防洪规划,没有充分考虑未来的不确定性;未能让各种参与规划;忽视了追求与防洪减灾和其他部门可能产生的共同利益。重要的是,这可能是传统规划机构以及地方能力有限的结果。
Given the risk posed by escalating climate conditions, there is a need to assess how localities integrate adaptive planning into hazard mitigation and how this is enabled or constrained by existing planning institutions. We explore this for flood planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas, United States – a largely underresourced and highly socioeconomically vulnerable area. Using Natural Language Processing to analyze county and regional hazard plans as well as transcripts of regional flood planning meetings, we find that adaptive planning is largely absent in the study area. Like many localities in the U.S., the communities in the study area have approached flood planning in static terms that do not fully consider future uncertainties; failed to engage diverse participation in planning; and neglected to pursue co-benefits possible with flood mitigation and other sectors. Critically, this may be a product of traditional planning institutions as well as limited local capacities.