Japanese Diplomacy and the "Improvement" in Sino-Japanese Relations

Japanese Diplomacy and the "Improvement" in Sino-Japanese Relations
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日本外交与中日关系“改善”

DOI:
10.1353/asp.2019.0002
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发表时间:
2019
期刊:
影响因子:
1.3
通讯作者:
Shin Kawashima
Shin Kawashima
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Shin Kawashima

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2018年中日关系持续呈现“改善”迹象。5月,李克强总理访问日本,出席日中韩领导人会议。 10月,安倍首相对中国进行正式访问,习近平主席预计将于2019年对日本进行正式访问。这些事件标志着中日元首关系的复兴。鉴于中美关系不断恶化,安倍此次访问(以及其所体现的日中关系可能得到加强)受到了广泛关注。直到最近,双边关系一直处于停滞状态,最近一次国事访问是2011年12月日本民主党短暂执政期间野田佳彦的访问。1本文认为,日本的目标不是让中日关系进入一个新的、温暖的时代,而是让中日关系恢复到十多年前开始衰退之前的中立基础。本文首先探讨了自 2008 年中国入侵东海争议海域以来两国关系出现偏离轨道的情况。然后讨论双边关系中的近期问题,包括中美关系恶化如何影响中日关系和美日关系,以及日本如何在中美亚洲倡议之间取得平衡。文章最后探讨了中国和日本对中日关系近期走向的看法,以及建立稳定、建设性的双边关系需要什么。
S ino-Japanese relations showed continual signs of “improvement” in 2018. In May, Premier Li Keqiang visited Japan to attend a trilateral summit between Japan, China, and South Korea. In October, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe paid an official visit to China, and President Xi Jinping is expected to make an official visit to Japan in 2019. Such events signify a revival of relations between Chinese and Japanese heads of state. Given the worsening of relations between China and the United States, Abe’s visit (and the potential strengthening of ties between Japan and China that it has been seen to embody) has received a great deal of attention. Until recently, bilateral relations had been at a standstill, with the most recent state visit being that of Yoshihiko Noda in December 2011 during the Democratic Party of Japan’s brief stint in power.1 This essay argues that, rather than marking a new, warm era in Sino-Japanese relations, Japan’s objective has been to return the relationship to the neutral footing it was on prior to its trajectory of decline beginning just over ten years ago. The essay first examines where the relationship went off track, starting in 2008, with Chinese incursions into the disputed waters of the East China Sea. It then addresses more recent issues in the bilateral relationship, including how the deteriorating Sino-U.S. relationship has affected both Sino-Japanese and U.S.-Japanese ties and how Japan is striking a balance between Chinese and U.S. initiatives for Asia. The essay concludes by examining where China and Japan see the Sino-Japanese relationship heading in the near term and what is needed to establish a stable, constructive bilateral relationship.