DYNAMIC BEHAVIOURAL MODELING, SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF HOUSEHOLD WATER CONSUMPTION IN AN URBAN AREA: A HYBRID APPROACH
DYNAMIC BEHAVIOURAL MODELING, SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF HOUSEHOLD WATER CONSUMPTION IN AN URBAN AREA: A HYBRID APPROACH
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城市地区家庭用水量的动态行为建模、模拟和分析：混合方法
DOI：
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
H. Sarjoughian
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Muhammad Saad Qaisar Alvi;Imran Mahmood;F. Javed;A. Malik;H. Sarjoughian
巴基斯坦正在迅速成为一个缺水国家，从而影响到人民的福祉。当局面临着制定严厉的节水政策，以实现有效管理可用水资源和高效供水，以及负责任的需求方管理。由于巴基斯坦缺乏现代化的水计量，用水量没有得到准确的监测。为了实现这一目标，我们提出了一个混合建模和仿真框架，包括：（一）基于代理的建模（ABM）的范例，处理个人的行为和特征，（二）系统动力学（SD）的范例，占水流动力学。我们的方法提供了双分辨率的表现力，适合复制现实世界的城市基础设施场景。该研究的主要目的是通过研究不同气候下的不同用水模式，帮助当局了解和预测短期和长期用水量，从而根据供水情况动态改善需求方用水量。
Pakistan is rapidly becoming a water stressed country, thus affecting people’s well-being. Authorities are faced with making drastic water conservation policies toward achieving effective management of available water resources and efficient water supply delivery coupled with responsible demand side management. Due to the lack of modern water metering in Pakistan, water consumption is not being accurately monitored. To achieve this goal, we propose a hybrid modeling and simulation framework, consisting of: (i) Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) paradigm that deals with the behavior and characteristics of individuals and (ii) System Dynamics(SD) paradigm that accounts for water flow dynamics. Our approach provides dual-resolution expressiveness suitable for replicating real-world urban infrastructure scenarios. The key objective of the research is to assist authorities to understand and forecast short-term and long-term water consumption through examining varying patterns of water consumption in different climates and thus improving demand side water usage dynamically subject to water supply availability.