Evaluating the impact of the alcohol act on off-trade alcohol sales: a natural experiment in Scotland
Evaluating the impact of the alcohol act on off-trade alcohol sales: a natural experiment in Scotland
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DOI：
10.1111/add.12701
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发表时间：
2014-12-01
期刊：
影响因子：
6
通讯作者：
Beeston, Clare
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Robinson, Mark;Geue, Claudia;Beeston, Clare
背景和目的2011年10月，作为苏格兰《酒精法案》的一部分，禁止多次购买非贸易酒精折扣。本研究的目的是评估这一立法对酒精销售的影响，这提供了最好的指标人口consumption.Design，设置和ObjectivePantsInterrupted时间序列回归被用来评估的影响，酒精法案对酒精销售的非贸易零售商在苏格兰。模型解释了潜在的季节性和长期趋势，并根据可支配收入、酒精价格和替代效应进行了调整。英格兰和威尔士的非贸易零售商的数据提供了一个对照组。测量2009年1月至2012年9月期间苏格兰和威尔士非贸易零售商销售纯酒精量的每周数据。（95% CI=-5.3至0.2%，P=0.07）苏格兰非贸易酒精销售减少，但EW未减少（-0.5%，95% CI=-4.6至3.9%，P=0.83）。在分析中调整EW销售后，在苏格兰观察到统计学显著性下降（-1.7%，95%CI =-3.1至-0.3%，P=0.02）。苏格兰的下降是由于葡萄酒的非贸易销售减少（-4.0%，95%CI =-5.4至-2.6%，P
Background and AimsA ban on multi-buy discounts of off-trade alcohol was introduced as part of the Alcohol Act in Scotland in October 2011. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of this legislation on alcohol sales, which provide the best indicator of population consumption.Design, Setting and ParticipantsInterrupted time-series regression was used to assess the impact of the Alcohol Act on alcohol sales among off-trade retailers in Scotland. Models accounted for underlying seasonal and secular trends and were adjusted for disposable income, alcohol prices and substitution effects. Data for off-trade retailers in England and Wales combined (EW) provided a control group.MeasurementsWeekly data on the volume of pure alcohol sold by off-trade retailers in Scotland and EW between January 2009 and September 2012.FindingsThe introduction of the legislation was associated with a 2.6% (95% CI=-5.3 to 0.2%, P=0.07) decrease in off-trade alcohol sales in Scotland, but not in EW (-0.5%, 95% CI=-4.6 to 3.9%, P=0.83). A statistically significant reduction was observed in Scotland when EW sales were adjusted for in the analysis (-1.7%, 95% CI=-3.1 to -0.3%, P=0.02). The decline in Scotland was driven by reduced off-trade sales of wine (-4.0%, 95% CI=-5.4 to -2.6%, P