What's driving Mexico-US migration? A theoretical, empirical, and policy analysis
What's driving Mexico-US migration? A theoretical, empirical, and policy analysis
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DOI：
10.1086/231037
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发表时间：
1997-01-01
影响因子：
4.4
通讯作者：
Espinosa, KE
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Massey, DS;Espinosa, KE
使用在墨西哥25个社区收集的数据，作者将个人移民行为与41个理论上定义的个人、家庭、社区和宏观经济层面的预测因素联系起来。这些指标随着时间的推移而变化，以产生离散时间的事件历史分析。在过去的25年里，首次、重复和返回移民的概率更多地与社会资本理论和新移民经济学确定的力量有关，而不是与新古典模型假设的成本-收益计算有关。作者发现，墨西哥-美国移民源于三个相辅相成的过程：社会资本形成、人力资本形成和市场整合。
Using data gathered in 25 Mexican communities, the authors link individual acts of migration to 41 theoretically defined individual-, household-, community-, and macroeconomic-level predictors. The indicators vary through time to yield a discrete-time event-history analysis. Over the past 25 years, probabilities of first, repeat, and return migration have been linked more to the forces identified by social capital theory and the new economics of migration than to the cost-benefit calculations assumed by the neoclassical model. The authors find that Mexico-U.S. migration stems from three mutually reinforcing processes: social capital formation, human capital formation, and market consolidation.