Impacto das mudanças do clima e projeções de Demanda sobre o processo de alocação de água em Duas bacias do nordeste semiárido
Impacto das mudanças do clima e projeções de Demanda sobre o processo de alocação de água em Duas bacias do nordeste semiárido
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气候变化和项目的影响以及北方半干旱地区气候和分配过程的影响
DOI：
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
E. Martins
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Costa Braga;Cybelle Frazao;Erwin De Nys;P. R. Martins;E. Martins
《巴西水系列》是世界银行及其国家合作伙伴多年来共同努力的结果。会议提出并讨论了解决巴西水资源议程中一些主要问题的关键问题。在这份题为《气候变化和预测需求对半干旱东北两大区水资源分配过程的影响》的工作中，作者介绍了与世界银行和国家水务局联合实施的一种创新方法的结果，该方法评估了气候变化对巴西东北部水资源管理的影响。该项目有助于提高人们对东北地区干旱状况的认识，并讨论了与气候变化相关的压力、人口增长和水需求模式的变化如何影响该地区的水系统。事实证明，该项目是更好地理解气候变化将如何转化为水资源短缺以及东北地区如何通过管理和水资源分配战略适应干旱和快速发展的关键的第一步。该项目产生了许多有用的产品和工具，包括一个过程模型，以促进在规划和培训方面对综合水资源的大多数讨论。下一步包括与决策者合作，研究如何在他们的投资计划和未来选择中考虑气候变化的水文影响的可能结果。作者希望，该项目的经验教训应有助于塑造未来的投资、积累知识，并促进跨部门整合和机构加强。
The Water Series Brazil is the result of joint work over the past years by the World Bank and its national partners. It raised and discussed key issues for solving some of the major problems of water resources agenda in Brazil. In this work, Impact of Climate Change and Projections Demand on the Process of Water Allocation in Two Bowls of semiarid Northeast, the authors present the results of an innovative approach, implemented in conjunction with the World Bank and the National Water Agency, which assesses the implications of climate change for water management in Northeast Brazil. The project has contributed to raising awareness of drought conditions in the Northeast and also discusses how stress related to climate change, combined with population growth and changes in patterns of demand for water can affect the water systems in this region. This project proved to be a critical first step in better understanding of how climate change will translate to water scarcity, and how the Northeast region, which is prone to drought and rapid development, could adapt by managing and water allocation strategies. The project yielded many useful products and tools, including a process model to facilitate most discussions of integrated water resources in planning and training. The next step includes working with decision makers on how to take into account the possible outcomes of hydrological impacts of climate change in their investment plans and future choices. The authors hope that the lessons of this project should help shape future investments, build knowledge and also enable cross-sectoral integration and institutional strengthening.