RETIREMENT TRAJECTORIES AND HEALTH IN JAPAN
RETIREMENT TRAJECTORIES AND HEALTH IN JAPAN
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DOI：
10.1093/geroni/igad104.3008
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发表时间：
2023-12-21
影响因子：
7
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中科院分区：
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退休与健康的关系是老龄化社会的一个关键问题。然而，目前尚不清楚从全职正规工作中退休的性质是否会对随后的健康产生影响。本研究探讨从全职正规工作退休的轨迹与随后的健康之间的关系。利用2005-2019年日本中老年人纵向调查，我们采用序列分析来确定59岁至66岁之间全职正常工作的不同退休轨迹。然后，我们使用工具变量方法估计退休轨迹与健康之间的因果关系。序列分析将退休轨迹分为四类：逐渐退休、突然退休、持续非标准就业和持续正常就业。工具变量估计显示，这些退休轨迹对健康的影响在统计上没有显著差异，但表明逐步退休可能比其他三种退休轨迹更有益于健康。几项稳健性检查也显示，退休轨迹对健康的影响没有统计学差异。这些发现为理解异质性退休途径对晚年健康和高龄人口劳动力市场政策的可能影响提供了经验基础。
The relationship between retirement and health is a key issue in aging societies. However, it is unclear whether the nature of retirement from full-time regular employment makes a difference in subsequent health. This study examines the relationship between the trajectory of retirement from full-time regular employment and subsequent health. Using the Longitudinal Survey of Middle-aged and Elderly Persons 2005–2019 collected in Japan, we employ sequence analysis to identify distinct retirement trajectories from full-time regular employment between ages 59 and 66. We then estimate the causal relationship between retirement trajectories and health using instrumental variable methods. Sequence analysis classifies the retirement trajectories into four groups: gradual retirement, abrupt retirement, continued non-standard employment, and continued regular employment. Instrumental variable estimation shows no statistically significant differences in the effects of these retirement trajectories on health, but suggests that gradual retirement may be more beneficial to health than other three retirement trajectories. Several robustness checks also show no statistical difference in the effect of retirement trajectories on health. These findings provide an empirical foundation for understanding the possible implications of heterogenous retirement pathways for health in later life and labor market policies in very old populations.