Gastrointestinal predictors of severe COVID-19: systematic review and meta-analysis.

Gastrointestinal predictors of severe COVID-19: systematic review and meta-analysis.
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DOI:
10.20524/aog.2020.0527
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发表时间:
2020-11
影响因子:
2.2
通讯作者:
Adler DG
Adler DG
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Aziz M;Haghbin H;Lee-Smith W;Goyal H;Nawras A;Adler DG

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COVID-19大流行需要识别严重疾病的潜在预测因素。我们对严重COVID-19的胃肠道预测因素进行了系统回顾和荟萃分析。使用PubMed、Embase、Web of Science和科克伦进行了广泛的文献检索。使用随机效应模型计算比例和连续结局的比值比(OR)和平均差(MD)。对于每个结局,生成95%置信区间(CI)和P值。共纳入83项研究(26912例患者,平均年龄43.5±16.4岁,48.2%为女性)。严重COVID-19的胃肠道预测因素包括腹泻的存在(OR 1.50,95%CI 1.10-2.03; P=0.01),血清天冬氨酸转氨酶(AST)升高(OR 4.00,95%CI 3.02-5.28; P<0.001)和血清丙氨酸氨基转移酶(ALT)升高(OR 2.54,95%CI 1.91-3.37; P<0.001)。平均AST水平显著升高(MD 14.78 U/L,95%CI 11.70-17.86 U/L; P<0.001),ALT(MD 11.87 U/L,95%CI 9.23-14.52 U/L; P<0.001),总胆红素(MD 2.08 mmol/L,95%CI 1.36-2.80 mmol/L; P<0.001)。应及早评估胃肠道症状和生物标志物,以识别严重的COVID-19。
COVID-19 pandemic has created a need to identify potential predictors of severe disease. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of gastrointestinal predictors of severe COVID-19. An extensive literature search was performed using PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane. Odds ratio (OR) and mean difference (MD) were calculated for proportional and continuous outcomes using a random-effect model. For each outcome, a 95% confidence interval (CI) and P-value were generated. A total of 83 studies (26912 patients, mean age 43.5±16.4 years, 48.2% female) were included. Gastrointestinal predictors of severe COVID-19 included the presence of diarrhea (OR 1.50, 95%CI 1.10-2.03; P=0.01), elevated serum aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (OR 4.00, 95%CI 3.02-5.28; P<0.001), and elevated serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (OR 2.54, 95%CI 1.91-3.37; P<0.001). Significantly higher levels of mean AST (MD 14.78 U/L, 95%CI 11.70-17.86 U/L; P<0.001), ALT (MD 11.87 U/L, 95%CI 9.23-14.52 U/L; P<0.001), and total bilirubin (MD 2.08 mmol/L, 95%CI 1.36-2.80 mmol/L; P<0.001) were observed in the severe COVID-19 group compared to non-severe COVID-19 group. Gastrointestinal symptoms and biomarkers should be assessed early to recognize severe COVID-19.
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