Climate Change Modeling, Mitigation, and Adaptation

Climate Change Modeling, Mitigation, and Adaptation
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气候变化建模、缓解和适应

DOI:
10.1061/9780784412718.ch11
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发表时间:
2013
期刊:
--
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Adeloye A
Adeloye A
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Adeloye A

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每年,与天气有关的灾害给全球经济造成数百亿美元的损失,而且损失似乎还在增加。负责设计保护措施以防范严重水灾和旱灾威胁的灾民和决策者似乎正处于困难时期。随着破纪录的事件越来越频繁地发生,规划者理所当然地关注现有设计程序的有效性。世界各地的企业已经开始将气候变化纳入设计过程。然而,气候模拟界缺乏共识,特别是在未来区域降水变化方面,这对明智的决策至关重要,对那些负责开发和运营强大的洪水和干旱保护设施和基础设施的人没有帮助。
Each year, weather-related disasters cost the global economy tens of billions of dollars, and the damage appears to be increasing. Planners and decision-makers responsible for designing protection measures to guard against the threat of severe floods and droughts appear to be having a difficult time. With record-breaking events occurring more frequently, the planner is rightly concerned about the validity of existing design procedures. Planners across the world have started to incorporate climate change into the design process. However, the lack of consensus among the climate modeling community, especially in regard to future regional precipitation changes, which is so crucial to informed decision-making, is unhelpful to those whose responsibility is to develop and operate robust flood and drought protection facilities and infrastructures.