Deciphering the past to inform the future: preparing for the next (“really big”) extreme event
Deciphering the past to inform the future: preparing for the next (“really big”) extreme event
复制标题
破译过去以告知未来：为下一次（“非常大”）极端事件做准备
DOI：
10.1002/fee.2194
复制
发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
10.3
通讯作者：
Yao, Jin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Peters, Debra PC;Burruss, N. Dylan;Okin, Gregory S.;Hatfield, Jerry L.;Scroggs, Stacey LP;Huang, Haitao;Brungard, Colby W.;Yao, Jin
气候变化将带来更多的极端温度和降水，这将影响全世界农业生态系统的生产力和生态系统的复原力。历史事件可用于识别影响未来事件的驱动因素。20世纪30年代美国的一场灾难性干旱导致受沙尘暴严重影响的地区和受影响不那么严重的地区之间的界限突然出现。历史上的初级生产数据证实了这一边界的位置在两个州（内布拉斯加州和爱荷华州）之间的边界。当地的天气和土壤驱动因素解释了干旱前后（1926-1948年）的生产反应。然而，在干旱期间，景观尺度（土壤性质和风速）和区域尺度（密苏里州河，其洪泛区，和附近的黄土丘陵）的功能解释了大部分观察到的初级生产力的变化。未来极端事件的影响可能会受到陆地表面特性的影响，这些特性会加重或减轻这些事件的影响。大尺度地貌过程的考虑可能是解释和管理灾难性事件所必需的。
Climate change will bring more extremes in temperature and precipitation that will impact productivity and ecosystem resilience throughout agroecosystems worldwide. Historical events can be used to identify drivers that impact future events. A catastrophic drought in the US in the 1930s resulted in an abrupt boundary between areas severely impacted by the Dust Bowl and areas that were less severely affected. Historical primary production data confirmed the location of this boundary at the border between two states (Nebraska and Iowa). Local drivers of weather and soils explained production responses across the boundary before and after the drought (1926–1948). During the drought, however, features at the landscape scale (soil properties and wind velocities) and regional scale (the Missouri River, its floodplain, and the nearby Loess Hills) explained most of the observed variance in primary production. The impact of future extreme events may be affected by land surface properties that either accentuate or ameliorate the effects of these events. Consideration of large‐scale geomorphic processes may be necessary to interpret and manage for catastrophic events.
登录
查看更多内容
影响因子：
10.1
作者：
Peters, Debra P. C.;Burruss, N. Dylan;Vivoni, Enrique R.
通讯作者：
Vivoni, Enrique R.
不羁的河流：密苏里州两世纪的变迁
影响因子：
1.5
作者：
L. Nash
通讯作者：
L. Nash
影响因子：
10.1
作者：
Okin, Gregory S.;Sala, Osvaldo E.;Bhattachan, Abinash
通讯作者：
Bhattachan, Abinash
科罗拉多州四英里溪流域的极端洪水导致侵蚀和河道变化
影响因子：
3.9
作者：
Will Wicherski;D. Dethier;W. Ouimet
通讯作者：
W. Ouimet
影响因子：
1.7
作者：
Griffin-Nolan, Robert J.;Carroll, Charles J. W.;Knapp, Alan K.
通讯作者：
Knapp, Alan K.