THE EFFECT OF TRAVEL TIME UNCERTAINTY ON GOODS TRANSPORTATION UNDER TEMPORAL CONSTRAINT
THE EFFECT OF TRAVEL TIME UNCERTAINTY ON GOODS TRANSPORTATION UNDER TEMPORAL CONSTRAINT
复制标题
时间约束下行程时间不确定性对货物运输的影响
DOI：
10.2208/jscej.1985.75
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发表时间：
1985
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Y. Shiramizu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
S. Matsumoto;Y. Shiramizu
货物运输基本上必须在某个时间在目的地进行运输和卸载。在卡车行程到达时间受时间-地理空间约束的情况下，行程时间的不确定性应被视为决定最佳路线和出发时间的重要组成部分。卡车运营商必须在出发时间上留出“安全余量”，以提高准时到达的可能性。本文定量评估零售商的行为，迟到的概率和旅行时间的节省。主要的结果是，大多数易腐食品零售商接受的风险是迟到小于5%的拍卖销售在批发市场的开始时间。对于回程，它被发现，他们重视两个因素，即，迟到的可能性，他们的商店和旅行时间节省的开放时间。
Goods transportation is essentially obliged to be carried and unloaded at a destination site at a certain time. In the case that the arrival time of a truck trip is constrained in time-geographic space, travel time uncertainty should be recognized as a significant component in deciding the optimum route and departure time. The truck operator must allow a "safety margin" in their departure time in order to improve the probability of arriving on time. This paper quantitatively evaluates retailers' behavior in terms of the probability of being late and travel time savings. The major result is that most retailers of perishable foods accept the risk of being late less than 5% for the starting time of an auction sale at a wholesale market. For the return trips it is found that they attach weight to both of the factors, namely, the probability of being late for the opening time of their shops and travel time savings.