Assessment of access to electricity and the socio-economic impacts in rural areas of developing countries
Assessment of access to electricity and the socio-economic impacts in rural areas of developing countries
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DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2008.01.041
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发表时间：
2008-06-01
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
Nakata, Toshihiko
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Kanagawa, Makoto;Nakata, Toshihiko
这项研究的目的是揭示发展中国家农村地区获得电力与社会经济条件进步之间的关系。最近，人们越来越关注贫穷的多方面问题，例如经济、教育和卫生，而获得电力等现代能源是一个可能的解决办法。作为一个案例研究，我们分析了在阿萨姆邦，印度未通电的农村地区。我们开发了一个能源经济模型，以分析通过普及电力照明器具实现电气化的可能性，并应用多元回归分析来估计这些地区的社会经济状况，即6岁以上的识字率。作为案例研究的结果，家庭电气化率、1 000公里/2道路密度和性别比例被选为识字率的解释变量。此外，模型分析表明，到2012年将实现家庭全面电气化。结合多元回归和模型分析，阿萨姆邦的识字率可能从63.3%提高到74.4%。(c)2008爱思唯尔有限公司保留所有权利。
The purpose of this study is to reveal relations between access to electricity and advancement in a socio-economic condition in rural areas of developing countries. Recently, multi-dimensional aspects of poverty, for example, economy, education, and health, has been increasingly focused on, and access to modern energy such as electricity is one possible solution. As a case study, we have analyzed unelectrified rural areas in Assam state, India. We have developed an energy-economic model in order to analyze the possibility of electrification through dissemination of electric lighting appliances as well as applied multiple regression analysis to estimate the socioeconomic condition, a literacy rate above 6 years old, in the areas. As a result of the case study, the household electrification rate, the 1000 km/2 road density, and sex ratio have been chosen as the explanatory variables of the literacy rate. Moreover, the model analysis shows that complete household electrification will be achieved by the year 2012. In combination with the multiple regression and model analysis, the literacy rate in Assam may increase to 74.4% from 63.3%. (c) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.