Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review
Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review
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DOI：
10.1057/jors.2008.173
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发表时间：
2009-02
影响因子：
3.6
通讯作者：
A. Syntetos;J. Boylan;S. Disney
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
A. Syntetos;J. Boylan;S. Disney
在过去的50年里，库存管理的预测和规划受到运筹界的极大关注，因为它对组织的战略层面和业务层面的决策都有影响。在这一领域已经做出了许多有影响力的贡献，反映了在不同的文献线索中发展的不同观点，即：系统动力学、控制理论和预测理论(包括统计和判断)。虽然这种多元化在知识进步方面是健康的，但它也意味着OR学科支离破碎，缺乏思想的相互交融，以制定更全面的办法来解决相同的问题。本文回顾和综合了相关文献，以促进这些不同的库存预测和计划方法之间的一些趋同。审查结束时提出了进一步研究的跨学科议程。
Forecasting and planning for inventory management has received considerable attention from the Operational Research (OR) community over the last 50 years because of its implications for decision making, both at the strategic level of an organization and at the operational level. Many influential contributions have been made in this area, reflecting different perspectives that have evolved in divergent strands of the literature, namely: system dynamics, control theory and forecasting theory (both statistical and judgemental). Although this pluralism is healthy in terms of knowledge advancement, it also signifies the fragmentation of the OR discipline and the lack of cross-fertilization of ideas to develop more comprehensive approaches towards the resolution of the same issues. In this paper, the relevant literature is reviewed and synthesized to promote some convergence between these different approaches to inventory forecasting and planning. The review concludes with an inter-disciplinary agenda for further research.