Climate Politics from Kyoto to Bonn: From Little to Nothing?
Climate Politics from Kyoto to Bonn: From Little to Nothing?
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从京都到波恩的气候政治：从无到有？
DOI：
10.5547/issn0195-6574-ej-vol23-no2-2
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发表时间：
2001
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Christoph Böhringer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Christoph Böhringer
我们研究了美国退出《京都议定书》以及波恩气候政策会议关于汇信用和排放交易的规定将如何改变该议定书最初形式的经济和环境影响。基于一个大规模的可计算的一般均衡模型的模拟，我们发现，美国的退出和波恩修正案减少了京都议定书的影响，一切照旧，没有约束性的排放限制。另一方面，美国遵守新的波恩条款将以经合组织国家相对较小的遵守成本大幅削减全球排放量。
We investigate how the U.S. withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol and the provisions of the Bonn climate policy conference on sink credits and emissions trading will change the economic and environmental impacts of the Protocol in its originalform. Based on simulations with a large-scale computable general equilibrium model, we find that the U.S. withdrawal and amendments of Bonn reduce the Kyoto Protocol’s impact to business-as-usual without binding emission constraints. U.S. compliance under the new Bonn provisions, on the other hand, would accommodate a substantial cut in global emissions at relatively small compliance costs for OECD countries.