The intrinsic estimator for age-period-cohort analysis: What it is and how to use it
The intrinsic estimator for age-period-cohort analysis: What it is and how to use it
复制标题
DOI：
10.1086/587154
复制
发表时间：
2008-05-01
影响因子：
4.4
通讯作者：
Land, Kenneth C.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yang, Yang;Schulhofer-Wohl, Sam;Land, Kenneth C.
一种新的方法来统计估计年龄-时期-队列（APC）会计模型，称为内在估计（IE），最近已经发展。本文(1)进一步从代数、几何和口头上描述IE，(2)回顾IE作为统计估计器的性质，(3)从经验例子和模拟练习中为IE提供模型验证证据，(4)使用统计可估计性、假设检验的正式定义将IE的系数与传统约束APC模型的系数联系起来，和经验应用程序，直接解决了经常对APC分析的通用方法提出的批评，并且(5)介绍了用于IE应用的计算机软件，感兴趣的用户可以随时访问。作者的结论是，IE不仅具有应用于APC分析的潜力，而且还具有应用于社会学中类似的结构性认同不足问题的潜力。
A new approach to the statistical estimation of age-period-cohort (APC) accounting models, called the intrinsic estimator (IE), recently has been developed. This article (1) further describes the IE algebraically, geometrically, and verbally, (2) reviews properties of the IE as a statistical estimator, (3) provides model validation evidence for the IE both from an empirical example and from a simulation exercise, (4) relates the coefficients of the IE to those of conventional constrained APC models using formal definitions of statistical estimability, hypothesis testing, and empirical applications that directly address a criticism that often has been lodged at general-purpose methods of APC analysis, and (5) introduces computer software for application of the IE that interested users can readily access. The authors conclude that the IE holds the potential for applications not only to APC analysis but also to similar problems of structural underidentification in sociology.