Admissible predictive density estimation
Admissible predictive density estimation
复制标题
可接受的预测密度估计
DOI:
10.1214/07-aos506
复制
发表时间:
2008
影响因子:
4.5
通讯作者:
Xinyi Xu
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
L. Brown;E. George;Xinyi Xu
Let Xj Np(;v xI) and Y j Np(;v yI) be independent p-dimensional multivariate normal vectors with common unknown mean . Based on observing X = x, we consider the problem of estimating the true predictive density p(yj ) of Y under expected Kullback-Leibler loss. Our focus here is the characterization of admissible procedures for this problem. We show that the class of all generalized Bayes rules is a complete class, and that the easily interpretable conditions of Brown and Hwang (1982) are sucient for a formal Bayes rule to be admissible. 1. Introduction. Let Xj Np(;v xI) and Yj Np(;v yI) be independent p-dimensional multivariate normal vectors with a common unknown mean 2 R p . We assume that vx > 0 and vy > 0 are known. We let p(xj ) and p(yj ) denote the conditional densities of X and Y , suppressing the dependence onvx and vy throughout. Based on observing only X = x, we consider the problem of estimating the density p(yj ) of Y . The natural action spaceA0 consists of all proper densities on R p , i.e.