Admissible predictive density estimation

Admissible predictive density estimation
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可接受的预测密度估计

DOI:
10.1214/07-aos506
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发表时间:
2008
影响因子:
4.5
通讯作者:
Xinyi Xu
Xinyi Xu
中科院分区:
数学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
L. Brown;E. George;Xinyi Xu

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设XjNp(; vxI)和YjNp(; vyI)是具有共同未知均值的独立p维多元正态向量。在观测X = x的基础上,考虑了在期望Kullback-Leibler损失下估计Y的真预测密度p(yj)的问题.这里我们的重点是这个问题的可受理程序的表征。我们证明了所有广义贝叶斯规则的类是一个完备类,并且Brown和Hwang(1982)的易于解释的条件对于形式贝叶斯规则是可容许的是足够的。1.导论.设Xj Np(;v xI)和Yj Np(;v yI)是具有共同未知均值2 Rp的独立p维多元正态向量。我们假设vx > 0和vy > 0是已知的。我们让p(xj)和p(yj)表示X和Y的条件密度,在整个过程中抑制对vx和vy的依赖。在只观察X = x的基础上,我们考虑估计Y的密度p(yj)的问题。自然作用空间A_0由R_p上的所有真密度组成,即:
Let Xj Np(;v xI) and Y j Np(;v yI) be independent p-dimensional multivariate normal vectors with common unknown mean . Based on observing X = x, we consider the problem of estimating the true predictive density p(yj ) of Y under expected Kullback-Leibler loss. Our focus here is the characterization of admissible procedures for this problem. We show that the class of all generalized Bayes rules is a complete class, and that the easily interpretable conditions of Brown and Hwang (1982) are sucient for a formal Bayes rule to be admissible. 1. Introduction. Let Xj Np(;v xI) and Yj Np(;v yI) be independent p-dimensional multivariate normal vectors with a common unknown mean 2 R p . We assume that vx > 0 and vy > 0 are known. We let p(xj ) and p(yj ) denote the conditional densities of X and Y , suppressing the dependence onvx and vy throughout. Based on observing only X = x, we consider the problem of estimating the density p(yj ) of Y . The natural action spaceA0 consists of all proper densities on R p , i.e.