The Shape of Things to Come? On the Dynamics of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings ∗
The Shape of Things to Come? On the Dynamics of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings ∗
复制标题
自杀式袭击和定点杀戮的动态变化*
DOI：
10.1561/100.00009013
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发表时间：
2009
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
M. Paserman
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
David A. Jaeger;M. Paserman
在本文中，我们研究了第二次起义中自杀式袭击和定点清除的动态。我们发现有证据表明，以色列有针对性地杀害巴勒斯坦领导人减少了巴勒斯坦人的暴力行为。然而，我们发现，巴勒斯坦人蓄意的暴力行为在定点清除的低水平上有所增加，但在较高水平上有所减少。我们发现，自杀爆炸造成至少一名以色列人死亡，导致随后巴勒斯坦人死亡率和死亡人数的增加。我们的研究结果不支持自杀式袭击和定点清除遵循文献中通常假设的“达特”模式的概念。
In this paper we examine the dynamics of suicide attacks and targeted killings in the Second Intifada. We find evidence that the targeted killings of Palestinian leaders by Israel reduce realized Palestinian violence. We find, however, that intended Palestinian violence is increasing at low levels of targeted killings, but decreasing at higher levels. We find that suicide bombings that kill at least one Israeli lead to a subsequent increase in the incidence and levels of Palestinian fatalities. Our results do not support the notion that suicide attacks and targeted killings follow the "tit-for-tat" pattern that is commonly postulated in the literature.