Demand Deposit Contracts and the Probability of Bank Runs
Demand Deposit Contracts and the Probability of Bank Runs
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DOI:
10.2139/ssrn.301287
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发表时间:
2002-02
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Itay Goldstein;Ady Pauzner
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文献类型:
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作者:
Itay Goldstein;Ady Pauzner
Diamond and Dybvig (1983) show that while demand-deposit contracts let banks provide liquidity, they expose them to panic-based bank runs. However, their model does not provide tools to derive the probability of the bank-run equilibrium, and thus cannot determine whether banks increase welfare overall. We study a modified model in which the fundamentals determine which equilibrium occurs. This lets us compute the ex ante probability of panic-based bank runs and relate it to the contract. We find conditions under which banks increase welfare overall and construct a demand-deposit contract that trades off the benefits from liquidity against the costs of runs. Copyright 2005 by The American Finance Association.