Role of vehicle inspection policy in climate mitigation: The case of Japan
Role of vehicle inspection policy in climate mitigation: The case of Japan
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车辆检查政策在减缓气候变化中的作用：日本的案例
DOI：
10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.07.028
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发表时间：
2018
影响因子：
8.7
通讯作者：
Kagawa Shigemi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Nakamoto Yuya;Kagawa Shigemi
1951年，日本政府引入了车辆安全检查系统，该系统具有缩短汽车“经济”寿命和增加与车辆寿命周期相关的二氧化碳排放量的效果。本研究将动态离散选择分析与基于动态存量模型的生命周期环境会计分析相结合，建立了一个综合评价框架。从实证结果中，我们发现：（1）由于严格的汽车检查制度，基准车型中普锐斯的经济寿命出奇地短，为5.07年，并且这种更换周期有助于随着时间的推移增加CO2;以及（2）取消第三和第五年的车辆检查将大大有助于缩短寿命-在研究期间，1997年至2016年，与普锐斯销售相关的循环二氧化碳排放量约为100万吨二氧化碳当量。超过20年因此，我们得出结论，修改管制政策，重点是汽车检查制度，以诱导车主保持他们的汽车更长的时间将具有环境效益。
In 1951, the Japanese government introduced a vehicle safety inspection system and this system has an effect of shortening the ‘economic’ lifetimes of automobiles and increasing CO2emissions associated with vehicle life-cycle. This study develops an integrated assessment framework by combining dynamic discrete choice analysis with life-cycle environmental accounting analysis based on a dynamic stock model. From the empirical results, we found that (1) the economic lifetime of a Prius in the benchmark model is surprisingly short, 5.07 years, due to the strict car inspection system, and this replacement cycle has contributed to increasing CO2over time; and (2) abolishing car inspections at the third and fifth years would considerably contribute to reducing life-cycle CO2emissions associated with Prius sold during the study period, 1997 to 2016, accounting for approximately one million tons-CO2eq. over 20 years. Thus, we conclude that modifying the regulation policy with a focus on the car inspection system to induce car owners to keep their automobiles longer would have environmental benefits.