A problem‐oriented categorisation of FTA‐methods for transport planning
A problem‐oriented categorisation of FTA‐methods for transport planning
复制标题
交通规划 FTA 方法的面向问题的分类
DOI：
10.1108/14636681211256071
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
2
通讯作者：
T. Fleischer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Schippl;T. Fleischer
目的-与其他社会技术领域一样，面向未来的技术分析（FTA）方法用于交通规划，为决策提供知识。应评估政策干预的潜在影响；应减少风险和不确定性；应该避免意外的影响。使用各种不同性质的工具和方法，这些方法都不能系统地再现一个完整的系统；它们都有特定的限制。然而，并不总是清楚哪一种方法可以用于哪一目的。本文提出了一种透明的、面向问题的FTA方法分类方法。它旨在支持在规划过程中适当使用自由贸易协定方法。设计/方法/方法-在欧盟资助的运输项目OPTIC（见www.optic.toi.no）的背景下进行的文献综述表明，区分不同类型的不确定性是可能的。这为问题导向的理论奠定了基础。
Purpose – As in other socio‐technical fields, future‐oriented technology analysis (FTA) methods are used in transport planning to provide knowledge for decision‐making. Potential effects of policy interventions should be assessed; risk and uncertainties should be reduced; unintended effects should be avoided. A variety of tools and methods of rather different character are applied, none of these methods are able to systematically reproduce a complete system; they all have their specific limits. It is not always clear, however, which method could be used for which purpose. In this paper, a transparent and problem‐oriented categorisation of FTA‐methods is suggested. It aims at supporting an appropriate usage of FTA‐methods in planning processes.Design/methodology/approach – A literature review carried out in context of the EU funded transport project OPTIC (see www.optic.toi.no) reveals that differentiating between different types of uncertainty is possible. This sets the basis for the problem‐oriented cate...