The Quality of Male Fertility Data in Major U.S. Surveys
The Quality of Male Fertility Data in Major U.S. Surveys
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DOI：
10.1007/s13524-011-0073-9
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发表时间：
2012-02-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Rendall, Michael S.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Joyner, Kara;Peters, H. Elizabeth;Rendall, Michael S.
研究人员继续质疑父亲是否愿意在调查中报告他们的亲生子女，以及调查是否有能力充分代表父亲。为了解决这些问题，本研究评估了1979年和1997年同期的全国青年纵向调查（NLSY 79和NLSY 97）和2002年全国家庭增长调查（NSFG）中男性生育数据的质量。比较生育率在每个调查与人口率的基础上的数据从人口统计和美国人口普查局，我们记录如何出生的不完整报告在不同的调查不同，根据男性的特征，包括他们的年龄，种族，婚姻状况，和出生队列。此外，我们使用Monte Carlo模拟的基础上NSFG的数据，以证明如何出生漏报偏见之间的关联早期父母和其前身。我们发现，在NSFG中，大约五分之四的早产被报告;但在NLSY 79和NLSY 97中，几乎十分之九的早产被报告。在所有三次调查中，非婚生育的报告不完整现象尤其明显。我们的研究结果表明，男性生育数据的质量与调查设计密切相关，并且对早期男性生育模型具有影响。
Researchers continue to question fathers' willingness to report their biological children in surveys and the ability of surveys to adequately represent fathers. To address these concerns, this study evaluates the quality of men's fertility data in the 1979 and 1997 cohorts of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79 and NLSY97) and in the 2002 National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG). Comparing fertility rates in each survey with population rates based on data from Vital Statistics and the U.S. Census Bureau, we document how the incomplete reporting of births in different surveys varies according to men's characteristics, including their age, race, marital status, and birth cohort. In addition, we use Monte Carlo simulations based on the NSFG data to demonstrate how birth underreporting biases associations between early parenthood and its antecedents. We find that in the NSFG, roughly four out of five early births were reported; but in the NLSY79 and NLSY97, almost nine-tenths of early births were reported. In all three surveys, incomplete reporting was especially pronounced for nonmarital births. Our results suggest that the quality of male fertility data is strongly linked to survey design and that it has implications for models of early male fertility.