Now for the Long Term: The Report of the Oxford Martin Commission for Future Generations

Now for the Long Term: The Report of the Oxford Martin Commission for Future Generations
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现在着眼长远:牛津马丁后代委员会的报告

DOI:
10.1177/1946756714523920
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发表时间:
2014
期刊:
World Future Review
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
M. Marien
M. Marien
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Marien

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该委员会的主要重点是“现代政治越来越短视,我们集体无力打破僵局,这破坏了应对将塑造我们未来的最大挑战的努力。”我们未来的案例由三部分组成:可能的未来,确定变革的关键“大趋势”驱动因素以及如何应对由此产生的挑战;负责任的未来,关于变革的历史驱动因素,指出行动的障碍已被克服,并从进展停滞中学习;和实用未来,关于促进后代利益的五项行动原则,以及“我们如何为所有人建立一个可持续,包容和有弹性的未来”。虽然可以说我们的世界经历了这样一个持续的积极变化时期,“现在是历史上最好的生存时期”,但未来也受到日益严重的系统性风险的威胁。在许多情况下,这些都是我们自己成功的结果。考虑到挑战的规模--比如掠夺世界自然资本、日益加剧的收入不平等以及意外或故意使用新技术可能带来的破坏性后果--我们需要更加关注未来,采取更有远见的态度。
The key focus of the Commission’s is on “the increasing short-termism of modern politics and our collective inability to break the gridlock which undermines attempts to address the biggest challenges that will shape our future.” The case for our future is built in three parts: Possible Futures, identifying key “megatrend” drivers of change and how to address resultant challenges; Responsible Futures, on historical drivers of transformative change, noting where impediments to action have been overcome, and learning from where progress has been stalled; and Practical Futures, on five principles for action that advance the interests of future generations and “how we can build a sustainable, inclusive, and resilient future for all.” While it can be said that our world has experienced such a sustained period of positive change that “now is the best time in history to be alive,” the future is also threatened by growing systemic risks. In many cases, these are the consequences of our own success. Given the scale of challenges—such as plundering the world’s natural capital, growing income inequality, and potentially devastating results from the accidental or deliberate use of new technologies—we need to pay far more attention to the future and adopt a more farsighted attitude.
我们政府的失误
DOI: --
发表时间: 2013
期刊: --
影响因子: --
作者:
King Anthony
通讯作者: King Anthony