Collaboration of the Weather and Climate Communities to Advance Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction
Collaboration of the Weather and Climate Communities to Advance Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction
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DOI：
10.1175/2010bams3013.1
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发表时间：
2010-10
影响因子：
8
通讯作者：
G. Brunet;M. Shapiro;B. Hoskins;M. Moncrieff;R. Dole;G. Kiladis;B. Kirtman;A. Lorenc;Brian Mills;R. Morss;S. Polavarapu;D. Rogers;J. Schaake;J. Shukla
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文献类型：
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作者：
G. Brunet;M. Shapiro;B. Hoskins;M. Moncrieff;R. Dole;G. Kiladis;B. Kirtman;A. Lorenc;Brian Mills;R. Morss;S. Polavarapu;D. Rogers;J. Schaake;J. Shukla
世界天气研究计划（WWRP）和世界气候研究计划（WCRP）已经确定了合作和科学优先事项，以加速亚季节至季节时间尺度分析和预测的进展，其中包括i）推进中尺度-行星尺度相互作用及其预测的知识; ii）开发高分辨率的全球-区域气候模拟，并对物理过程进行先进的表示，提高对高影响事件的亚季节和季节变化的预测技能，如季节性干旱和洪水、阻塞以及热带和热带外气旋; ㈢促进改进海洋-大气-陆地和地球系统耦合模型中用于监测和预测的数据同化方法;以及iv）开发和传输适合社会经济决策的诊断和预测信息。该文件提出了具体的基础研究，联系，并要求必须实现…
The World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) and the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) have identified collaborations and scientific priorities to accelerate advances in analysis and prediction at subseasonalto-seasonal time scales, which include i) advancing knowledge of mesoscale–planetary-scale interactions and their prediction; ii) developing high-resolution global–regional climate simulations, with advanced representation of physical processes, to improve the predictive skill of subseasonal and seasonal variability of high-impact events, such as seasonal droughts and floods, blocking, and tropical and extratropical cyclones; iii) contributing to the improvement of data assimilation methods for monitoring and predicting used in coupled ocean–atmosphere–land and Earth system models; and iv) developing and transferring diagnostic and prognostic information tailored to socioeconomic decision making. The document puts forward specific underpinning research, linkage, and requirements necessary to achi...