Natural disasters and economic growth: A meta-analysis
Natural disasters and economic growth: A meta-analysis
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DOI：
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.02.006
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发表时间：
2014-05-01
影响因子：
8.9
通讯作者：
Valckx, Kay
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Klomp, Jeroen;Valckx, Kay
使用超过750个估计值，我们对研究人均经济增长与自然灾害之间关系的研究进行了元回归分析。所审议的研究在所审议的灾害类型、所涉国家和时期的样本、模型规格、所用估计数和出版物渠道等方面有很大不同。在对我们的研究结果进行广泛的检验之后，我们得出结论，自然灾害对经济增长的负面影响在我们的分析期间正在增加。尽管如此，所包括的灾害和所使用的国家样本的程度不同。特别是，事实证明，发展中国家的气候灾害对经济增长的不利影响最大。然而，我们也发现一些证据表明，在这些研究中发现的自然灾害的负面影响的一部分是由出版偏见。(C)2014爱思唯尔有限公司版权所有。
Using more than 750 estimates, we perform a meta-regression analysis of studies examining the relationship between economic growth per capita and natural disasters. The studies considered are very different with respect to the type of disasters considered, the sample of countries and time periods covered, model specification, estimators used and publication outlet. After extensive testing of our results, we conclude that there exists a negative genuine effect of natural disasters on economic growth which is increasing over the period of our analysis. Still, the magnitude differs across disasters included and country sample used. In particular, it turns out that climatic disasters in developing countries have the most significant adverse impact on economic growth. However, we also find some evidence that a part of the negative impact of natural disasters found in these studies is caused by a publication bias. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.