Lessons for surveillance in the 21st century:: a historical perspective from the past five millennia
Lessons for surveillance in the 21st century:: a historical perspective from the past five millennia
复制标题
DOI：
10.1007/bf01321662
复制
发表时间：
2001-01-01
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Pak, AWP
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Choi, BCK;Pak, AWP
本文回顾了过去5000年来人类历史上的一些主要流行病，并在流行病学监测的背景下得出了12条经验教训。本文提出的12项挑战可以用来指导我们在21世纪建立一个更好、更全面的监控系统。这将通过以下方式实现：继续发展和改进监测；保持持续的系统性；以人口为基础；在数据库中纳入风险和干预指标；更有效的数据分析；刺激病因学研究；提高预测能力；与干预措施的发展挂钩；评估干预措施；更好的信息传播方式；以及不带偏见地传播。
This paper reviews some major epidemics in the past 5000 years in human history and derives 12 lessons in the context of epidemiologic surveillance. The corresponding 12 challenges proposed in this paper could be used to guide us in building a better and more comprehensive surveillance system in the 21(st) century. This will be achieved by: continuing the evolvement and improvement of surveillance; maintaining on an ongoing basis, being systematic; being population-based; including risk and intervention indicators in the data base; more efficient data analysis; stimulating etiologic research; improving forecasting capability; linking to development of intervention; evaluating the intervention; better ways of information dissemination; and dissemination without prejudice.