Red meat consumption and mortality: results from 2 prospective cohort studies.

Red meat consumption and mortality: results from 2 prospective cohort studies.
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DOI:
10.1001/archinternmed.2011.2287
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发表时间:
2012-04-09
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Hu, Frank B.
Hu, Frank B.
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Pan, An;Sun, Qi;Bernstein, Adam M.;Schulze, Matthias B.;Manson, JoAnn E.;Stampfer, Meir J.;Willett, Walter C.;Hu, Frank B.

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食用红肉会增加患慢性病的风险。然而,其与死亡率的关系仍不确定。我们前瞻性地随访了37698名来自卫生专业人员随访研究(1986-2008)的男性和83644名来自护士健康研究(1980-2008)的女性,他们在基线时没有心血管疾病(CVD)和癌症。饮食通过有效的食物频率问卷进行评估,每四年更新一次。在296万人-年的随访中,我们记录了23926例死亡(包括5910例心血管疾病和9464例癌症死亡)。在对主要生活方式和饮食风险因素进行多因素调整后,每天食用1份未加工红肉的总死亡率的合并风险比(HR)和95%置信区间为1.13(1.07-1.20),食用加工红肉的总死亡率为1.20(1.15-1.24)。心血管疾病死亡率的hr分别为1.18(1.13-1.23)和1.21(1.13-1.31),癌症死亡率的hr分别为1.10(1.06-1.14)和1.16(1.09-1.23)。我们估计,用每天1份的其他食物(包括鱼、家禽、坚果、豆类、低脂乳制品和全谷物)代替每天1份的红肉,死亡率会降低7%-19%。我们还估计,在我们的队列中,如果所有人每天食用<0.5份(≈42克/天)的红肉,在随访结束时,9.3%的男性和7.6%的女性死亡是可以避免的。食用红肉会增加患心血管疾病和癌症的风险。用其他健康蛋白质来源替代红肉与较低的死亡风险相关。
Red meat consumption has been associated with an increased risk of chronic diseases. However, its relationship with mortality remains uncertain. We prospectively followed 37698 men from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2008) and 83644 women from the Nurses' Health Study (1980-2008), who were free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer at baseline. Diet was assessed by validated food-frequency questionnaires and updated every four years. We documented 23926 deaths (including 5910 CVD and 9464 cancer deaths) during 2.96 million person-years of follow-up. After multivariate adjustment for major lifestyle and dietary risk factors, the pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval of total mortality was 1.13 (1.07-1.20) for 1-serving per day increase of unprocessed red meat, 1.20 (1.15-1.24) for processed red meat. The corresponding HRs were 1.18 (1.13-1.23) and 1.21 (1.13-1.31) for CVD mortality, 1.10 (1.06-1.14) and 1.16 (1.09-1.23) for cancer mortality. We estimated that substitutions of 1-serving per day of other foods (including fish, poultry, nuts, legumes, low-fat dairy, and whole grains) for 1-serving per day of red meat were associated with a 7%-19% lower mortality risk. We also estimated that 9.3% of deaths in men and 7.6% in women in our cohorts could be prevented at the end of follow-up if all individuals consumed <0.5 serving/d (≈42 g/d) of red meat. Red meat consumption is associated with an increased risk of total, CVD and cancer mortality. Substitution of other healthy protein sources for red meat is associated with a lower mortality risk.
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