The Nature of the Dispute and the Effectiveness of International Mediation
The Nature of the Dispute and the Effectiveness of International Mediation
复制标题
争端的性质和国际调解的有效性
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
1993
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
J. Langley
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Jacob Bercovitch;J. Langley
关于调解的文献主要集中在实验室实验研究或对单个案件的描述上。本文超越了这些方法，系统地分析了纠纷特征如何影响调解结果。建立了一个研究调解行为的理论框架，并以战后97个国际争端的调解模式为参照，对其核心变量进行了评估。运用多元分析和对数线性方法，结果表明，纠纷特征，如致命性、复杂性、问题的性质和纠纷的持续时间，对调解结果具有最大的预测性。作者使用这些结果来指定解释数据的因果模型，并考虑如何最好地评估替代调解模型与他们的数据的适合性。
The literature on mediation focuses largely on experimental laboratory studies or descriptions of single cases. This article goes beyond such approaches by analyzing systematically how dispute characteristics affect mediation outcomes. A theoretical framework for studying mediation behavior is developed and its central variables are evaluated against the mediation patterns of 97 international disputes in the postwar period. Using multivariate analysis and loglinear methods, the results indicate that dispute features such as fatalities, complexity, nature of the issue, and duration of dispute are most predictive of mediation outcomes. The authors use those results to specify a causal model that explains the data and to consider how best to evaluate the fit of alternative models of mediation to their data.