A coevolutionary framework for analysing a transition to a sustainable low carbon economy

A coevolutionary framework for analysing a transition to a sustainable low carbon economy
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DOI:
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2011.07.014
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发表时间:
2011-10-15
影响因子:
7
通讯作者:
Foxon, Timothy J.
Foxon, Timothy J.
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Foxon, Timothy J.

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本文提出了一个分析向可持续低碳经济过渡的共同进化框架,该框架基于生态系统、技术、制度、商业战略和用户实践的共同进化,并从多层次的微观-中观-宏观角度进行分析。这是建立在和发展以前的长期技术和产业变革的共同进化分析,以及最近重新在生态经济学的共同进化方法的兴趣。以前的工作已经分析了技术和制度的共同进化如何导致当前高碳能源系统的锁定;以及物理和社会技术以及商业战略的共同进化如何为生活在工业化国家的少数世界人口带来重大的物质和福利利益。本文提出的共同进化框架可用于:(1)在微观和中观层面上对与创新和采用特别是低碳技术有关的挑战进行详细的经验分析;(2)作为一个框架,分析向低碳能源系统过渡的潜在途径中社会和技术因素的多层次相互作用;(3)评估向低碳经济转型对经济增长和繁荣的影响;(4)协助开发更正式、多层次的演化经济模型。(C)2011爱思唯尔有限公司版权所有。
This paper proposes a coevolutionary framework for analysing a transition to a sustainable low-carbon economy, based on the coevolution of ecosystems, technologies, institutions, business strategies and user practices, within a multi-level micro-meso-macro perspective. This builds on and develops previous coevolutionary analyses of long-term technological and industrial change, and recent renewed interest within ecological economics on coevolutionary approaches. Previous work has analysed how the coevolution of technologies and institutions has led to the lock-in of current high-carbon energy systems; and how the coevolution of physical and social technologies and business strategies has brought significant material and welfare benefits to the minority of the world's population living in industrialised countries. The coevolutionary framework proposed here may be used to undertake: (1) detailed empirical analyses at a micro-meso level of the challenges relating to the innovation and adoption of particularly low-carbon technologies; (2) as a framework for analysing the multi-level interaction of social and technological elements within potential transition pathways to a low carbon energy system; (3) to assess the implications for economic growth and prosperity of a transition to a low carbon economy; and (4) to assist in the development of more formal, multi-level evolutionary economic models. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.