Estimation of annual international migration from the Labour Force Surveys of the United Kingdom and the continental European Union
Estimation of annual international migration from the Labour Force Surveys of the United Kingdom and the continental European Union
复制标题
英国和欧盟大陆劳动力调查对年度国际移民的估计
DOI：
10.3233/sju-2003-203-402
复制
发表时间：
2004
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
D. Elliot
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
M. Rendall;C. Tomassini;D. Elliot
住户调查很少用于估计国际移徙情况。然而，欧洲联盟(EU)的劳动力调查(LFS)在一年前强制性地包括了一个关于居住地的问题。潜在地，这为估计来自欧盟以外的移民以及估计欧盟内部移民的完整系统提供了一个跨欧盟国家的一致定义。这里评估了所有(欧盟和非欧盟)移民到英国(UK)以及从英国到欧盟大陆国家的移民的潜力。评估是通过与英国港口调查、国际乘客调查以及1991年和2001年英国人口普查的估计进行比较的。英国LFS很好地估计了每年移民总数的地理分布和时间趋势。它将年度移民总数低估了15%至25%，这主要是因为它低估了非欧盟公民的移民数量。在英国和欧盟大陆的LFSS中，回归的公民移民比新移民的估计更好。欧盟大陆的LFSS在捕获来自英国的移民方面表现出相当大的异质性。因此，将这些数字汇总在一起，会导致对欧洲大陆移民总数及其按目的地国分布的估计不准确。
Household surveys are infrequently used for the estimation of international migration. The European Union (EU) Labour Force Surveys (LFS), however, compulsorily include a question on place of residence one year before. Potentially this provides a consistent definition across EU countries for estimating immigration from outside the EU, and for estimating a complete system of intra-EU migration. This potential is evaluated here for all (EU and non-EU) immigrants to the United Kingdom (UK) and for immigrants from the UK to continental EU countries. Evaluation is by comparison with estimates from the UK's port survey, the International Passenger Survey, and from the 1991 and 2001 UK Censuses. The UK LFS estimates the geographical distribution and time trend of total annual immigrants well. It underestimates the level of total annual immigration by 15 to 25 per cent, due mainly to its underestimating immigration of non-EU citizens. In both the UK and continental EU LFSs, returning citizen migrants are better estimated than are new migrants. The continental EU's LFSs exhibit considerable heterogeneity in their capturing of migrants from the UK. Aggregating them therefore results in poor estimation of both the total migrants to continental Europe and their distribution by country of destination.