Bayesian analysis of ARMA–GARCH models: A Markov chain sampling approach

Bayesian analysis of ARMA–GARCH models: A Markov chain sampling approach
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DOI:
10.1016/s0304-4076(99)00029-9
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发表时间:
2000-03
影响因子:
6.3
通讯作者:
T. Nakatsuma
T. Nakatsuma
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
T. Nakatsuma

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我们为具有 ARMA(p, q )-GARCH(r, s ) 误差的线性回归模型开发了马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法。为了从联合后验分布生成蒙特卡洛样本,我们采用带有 Metropolis-Hastings 算法的马尔可夫链采样。作为说明,我们估计了模拟时间序列数据的 ARMA-GARCH 模型。
We develop a Markov chain Monte Carlo method for a linear regression model with an ARMA(p, q )-GARCH(r, s ) error. To generate a Monte Carlo sample from the joint posterior distribution, we employ a Markov chain sampling with the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm. As illustration, we estimate an ARMA–GARCH model of simulated time series data.