Status quo analysis of the Flathead River conflict
Status quo analysis of the Flathead River conflict
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DOI：
10.1029/2003wr002596
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发表时间：
2004-05
影响因子：
5.4
通讯作者：
Kevin W. Li;D. Kilgour;K. Hipel
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Kevin W. Li;D. Kilgour;K. Hipel
在冲突解决图模型范式下开发的现状分析算法被应用于涉及美国和加拿大的国际河流流域冲突，以评估各种妥协解决方案的可能性。之所以发生冲突，是因为蒙大拿州担心，加拿大Sage Creek煤炭公司设施的进一步扩张会污染从不列颠哥伦比亚省流入蒙大拿州的弗莱黑德河。关于正在研究的冲突的潜在解决方案以及决策者的互动如何将冲突引导到不同的解决方案，我们获得了静态稳定性分析通常无法获得的重要见解。分析还表明，政治考虑可能如何影响特定决策者的选择，从而影响冲突的演变。
Status quo analysis algorithms developed within the paradigm of the graph model for conflict resolution are applied to an international river basin conflict involving the United States and Canada to assess the likeliness of various compromise resolutions. The conflict arose because the state of Montana feared that further expansion of the Sage Creek Coal Company facilities in Canada would pollute the Flathead River, which flows from British Columbia to Montana. Significant insights not generally available from a static stability analysis are obtained about potential resolutions of the conflict under study and about how decision makers' interactions may direct the conflict to distinct resolutions. Analyses also show how political considerations may affect a particular decision maker's choice, thereby influencing the evolution of the conflict.