Assessment and Interpretation of En Route Weather Avoidance Fields from the Convective Weather Avoidance Model

Assessment and Interpretation of En Route Weather Avoidance Fields from the Convective Weather Avoidance Model
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对流天气回避模型对航路天气回避场的评估和解释

DOI:
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发表时间:
2010
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
R. DeLaura
R. DeLaura
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Michael P. Matthews;R. DeLaura

文献摘要

被引文献

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本文介绍了一项研究的结果,以量化天气回避场在预测对流天气对航路空域的运行影响方面的性能。对流天气回避模型根据对天气影响区域内的计划和实际飞行轨迹的检查,确定飞行员可能避免的对流天气区域。根据该模型和走廊综合天气系统的对流天气预报,可以向自动化决策支持系统提供概率天气回避场,以预测天气对空中交通管制系统的未来影响。本文将介绍三种可供选择的空间滤波器的对流天气回避模型,量化其性能,解决性能的不足,并提出了潜在的改进,通过查看ATC环境和驾驶舱和空中交通管制之间的共同态势感知。
†‡ This paper presents the results of a study to quantify the performance of Weather Avoidance Fields in predicting the operational impact of convective weather on en route airspace. The Convective Weather Avoidance Model identifies regions of convective weather that pilots are likely to avoid based upon an examination of the planned and actual flight trajectories in regions of weather impact. From this model and a forecast of convective weather from the Corridor Integrated Weather System a probabilistic Weather Avoidance Field can be provided to automated decision support systems of the future impact of weather on the air traffic control system. This paper will present three alternative spatial filters for the Convective Weather Avoidance Model, quantify their performance, address deficiencies in performance, and suggest potential improvements by looking at the ATC environment and common situational awareness between the cockpit and air traffic control.