Strategic Deployment of UN Political Missions to Replace UN Peacekeeping Operations: The Demand and Supply Sides of Transition Logic
Strategic Deployment of UN Political Missions to Replace UN Peacekeeping Operations: The Demand and Supply Sides of Transition Logic
复制标题
战略部署联合国政治特派团以取代联合国维和行动：过渡逻辑的需求方和供给方
DOI：
10.1080/13533312.2022.2149502
复制
发表时间：
2023
影响因子：
2.3
通讯作者：
Wakako Maekawa
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
中東雅樹;李健泳;張文テイ;山田陽子;Wakako Maekawa
虽然联合国维和行动（UN PKOs）为和平带来了积极的成果，但一些特派团在战略上被更便宜和更小的联合国政治特派团（PM）所取代。这篇文章探讨了为什么某些维和人员被联合国PM取代，并解开了联合国维和行动的退出战略。需求方和供应方观点的逻辑是使用1993年至2016年期间在内战后国家部署联合国维和人员和联合国PM的数据进行评估的。签署全面和平协定增加了联合国维和行动被联合国维和人员取代的可能性，因为随着政治发展意愿的增加，非军事化后对文职人员的需求也会增加。在供应方面，随着联合国安全理事会五个常任理事国对目标国的偏好变得更加多样化，联合国维和行动更有可能被联合国维和特派团取代，因为协调问题促使成员国选择负担较轻的特派团。
Although United Nations peacekeeping operations (UN PKOs) produce positive outcomes for peace, some missions are strategically replaced by cheaper and smaller UN political missions (PMs). This article explores why certain peacekeepers are replaced by UN PMs and unpacks the exit strategy of UN PKOs. The logic of demand-side and supply-side perspectives is evaluated using data on the deployment of UN peacekeepers and UN PMs in post-civil war countries between 1993 and 2016. Signing comprehensive peace agreements (CPAs) increases the chances of UN PKOs being replaced by UN PMs because as the willingness to develop politically increases, the demand for civilian personnel after demilitarization also rises. On the supply side, as the preferences of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council concerning target states become more heterogenous, UN PKOs are more likely to be replaced by UN PMs because coordination problems encourage members to choose less burdensome missions.