Doing the impossible: A note on induction and the experience of randomness.

Doing the impossible: A note on induction and the experience of randomness.
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做不可能的事:关于归纳和随机性体验的注释。

DOI:
10.1037/0278-7393.8.6.626
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发表时间:
1982
期刊:
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory and Cognition
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Lola L. Lopes
Lola L. Lopes
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Lola L. Lopes

文献摘要

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归纳过程被表述为在随机或噪声背景下检测非随机性或模式的问题。描述了用于评估人类随机性概念合理性的实验方法,并将该实验文献中隐含的随机性狭隘概念与哲学和数学中更广泛且不太一致的随机性概念进行了对比。从信号检测理论的角度讨论了随机感应与随机经验的关系。本文认为,要充分评价人类的随机性概念,必须考虑这些概念在归纳推理中所起的作用。(36 ref)(PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2016 APA,版权所有)
The process of induction is formulated as a problem in detecting nonrandomness or pattern against a background of randomness or noise. Experimental approaches that have been taken to evaluate the rationality of human conceptions of randomness are described, and the narrow conceptions of randomness implicit in this experimental literature are contrasted with the broader and less well agreed upon conceptions of randomness in philosophy and mathematics. The relation between induction and the experience of randomness is discussed in terms of signal detection theory. It is argued that an adequate evaluation of human conceptions of randomness must consider the role those conceptions play in inductive inference.(36 ref)(PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2016 APA, all rights reserved)