Predictable crises shape public opinion: evidence from the COVID-19 natural experiment
Predictable crises shape public opinion: evidence from the COVID-19 natural experiment
复制标题
DOI：
10.1080/17457289.2021.1924731
复制
发表时间：
2021-05-31
影响因子：
1.8
通讯作者：
Taniguchi, Masaki
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Asano, Taka-aki;Kaneko, Tomoki;Taniguchi, Masaki
可以预见的新冠肺炎相关医疗和经济危机会对舆论产生怎样的影响？为了回答这个问题，我们分析了一项全国范围内的随机抽样调查(n=2053名受访者)，该调查恰好发生在新冠肺炎爆发以来的一段时间。这种规模和时机使我们能够追踪公众舆论的变化。我们发现，在新冠肺炎传播之前，公众对大政府的支持程度已经上升。此外，结果显示，随着患者的突然增加，人们预测未来将出现经济危机，从而要求政府实施经济刺激措施，以减少损失。我们的发现表明，公众舆论的形成早于危机的实际发生。
How do the predictable COVID-19-related medical and economic crises affect public opinion? To answer this question, we analyze a nationwide random sampling survey (n = 2053 respondents) coinciding with the period from the beginning of the outbreak of COVID-19 to its peak. This scale and timing enable us to trace a shift in public opinion. We find that the levels of public support for big government had increased before the spread of COVID-19. Furthermore, the results show that with the sudden growth of patients, people predicted a future economic crisis and thus demanded the government to implement economic stimulus measures to reduce damage. Our findings imply that public opinion is formed earlier than crises actually materialize.