CLIMATIC WARMING AND INCREASED MALARIA INCIDENCE IN RWANDA
CLIMATIC WARMING AND INCREASED MALARIA INCIDENCE IN RWANDA
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DOI：
10.1016/s0140-6736(94)91586-5
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发表时间：
1994-03-19
期刊：
影响因子：
168.9
通讯作者：
LOEVINSOHN, ME
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
LOEVINSOHN, ME
预计全球气候变化将增加病媒传播疾病（特别是疟疾）的发病率。这项研究评估了气候对卢旺达疟疾流行的贡献，重点是一个卫生中心的集水区，在那里诊断是一致的，非气候变量得到很好的监测。在获得性免疫力低的人群中，2岁以下儿童（564%）和高海拔地区的人群（501%）的增幅最大。病死率显著上升（相对危险度= 485，p
Global climatic change is expected to increase the incidence of vector-borne diseases, especially malaria. This study assessed the contribution of climate to a malaria epidemic in Rwanda, focusing on the catchment area of one health centre where diagnosis was consistent and non-climatic variables well monitored.In late 1987 malaria incidence in the area increased by 337% over the 3 previous years. The increase was greatest in groups with little acquired immunity-children under 2 years (564%) and people in high-altitude areas (501%). Case-fatality rose significantly (relative risk = 485, p